A busy day – but ultimately, a bit of a nothing
day…
A winner at Fontwell, was matched by a few losers at
Cheltenham; whilst victory for Morning Assembly at Punchestown, was evened out
by defeat for Defy Logic…
Starting with Fontwell then, where Boyfromnowhere was a
very game winner of the long distance chase.
Obviously that was pleasing – but more pleasing was the fact that non of the first 4 in the betting this morning, managed to finish in the first 4 in the race.
Obviously that was pleasing – but more pleasing was the fact that non of the first 4 in the betting this morning, managed to finish in the first 4 in the race.
My angle into the race was wanting to take them on – so
it was nice to be proved right, in that respect.
Obviously I was disappointed that we didn’t get to test
my theory completely, with the absence of American Spin.
Though if he had run, Boyfromnowhere would probably have
pipped him – so maybe it was for the best…
The main action of the day was obviously at Punchestown,
where we had tips running 3 of the races…
First up was Copper Birch, but he ran no sort of a race
and finished nearly last.
A little frustratingly, the winner, Home Run, was pickable on some of last seasons form – but I really didn’t think he would be allowed to go off at 40/1 if the Pipe stable thought he had half a chance. It just goes to show…
A little frustratingly, the winner, Home Run, was pickable on some of last seasons form – but I really didn’t think he would be allowed to go off at 40/1 if the Pipe stable thought he had half a chance. It just goes to show…
The next tips to run, were Ifandbutwhynot and Flaxen
Flare in the Greatwood.
The former was held up out the back and suffered some
interference when Ahyaknowyerself fell. It’s doubtful that it harmed his chances
significantly – but it certainly didn’t help them.
On the other hand, Flaxen Flare had the perfect position
throughout the race – but just wasn’t good enough to mount a proper
challenge.
He really looked as if he had no excuses…
He really looked as if he had no excuses…
The final tip of the day to run, was Wadswick
Court.
I honestly thought that he would go very well – but his
run was disappointing.
Noel Fehily seemed keen not to give him a hard race
(maybe connections were wary of the ground) and he let the leaders get away from
him, coming down the hill.
I’m sure he is much better than he showed today – but we
are going to have to wait for him to show it.
What made it more irritating though, was the fact that
his much less fancied stable companion finished a close up third. Again, that
told me that the real Wadswick Court would have gone very close
today…
In the other races on the card, Tom Scudamore stole the
novice hurdle on The Liquidator.
That’s to take nothing away from the horse, who is probably very good anyway.
That’s to take nothing away from the horse, who is probably very good anyway.
But when you are given an easy time of it up front, it
always makes wining a little easier.
Dodging Bullets was a very tidy winner of the novice
chase.
Whether he is up to the standard required to win an Arkle, is a different matter – but it was difficult to crib his performance today.
Whether he is up to the standard required to win an Arkle, is a different matter – but it was difficult to crib his performance today.
In the 2 mile chase, Sire De Grugy was a big
disappointment – but it wasn’t Special Tiara who took advantage (I’m almost
relieved to say !).
The favourites jumping left a lot to be desired at a
number of the fences – and ultimately, that found him out as he tired up the
hill and Kid Cassidy ran him down…
Over at Punchestown, Defy Logic lost out to Felix Younger
in the 2 mile novice chase – but I won’t be tearing up my Arkle slip just
yet…
Defy Logic strikes me as a bit of a baby – and I suspect
that todays race will have done him a lot of good. His jumping isn’t slick – and
he doesn’t really settle in his races – yet he still is able to produce high
class performances.
If Paul Nolan can sort him out, there is still a chance
that he will come good in March.
Lets’ not forget, Felix Younger is no slouch. He finished
second to the brilliant Simonsig when that one won the Neptune novice hurdle at
the 2012 festival. Simonsig went on to win last seasons Arkle – so Felix Younger
set a fair standard today.
In my opinion, the Punchestown race looked stronger than
Dodging Bullets Cheltenham race.
I remain with hope…
I also remain with hope for Morning Assembly (not that I
ever lost it ;) ).
I can see him becoming a horse that I love (and if I love
him, you will need to learn to love him as well !).
He was dwarfed by Don Cossack, who looked to be
travelling all over him through final mile off the race.
But when push came to shove, Morning Assembly put his head down, battled and jumped.
Ultimately he was just too brave for Don Cossack – and put them in a stronger run race and the result will be the same.
Make no mistake, we have a very live RSA bet.
But when push came to shove, Morning Assembly put his head down, battled and jumped.
Ultimately he was just too brave for Don Cossack – and put them in a stronger run race and the result will be the same.
Make no mistake, we have a very live RSA bet.
Oh – I nearly forgot - Hurricane Fly won and picked up
£80K in doing so.
Nice work if you can get it.
Finally, over at Cork, I think Glam Gerry can be
considered a little unlucky not to collect (or at least go very
close).
He was just mounting a challenge when hampered by a
faller at the third last hurdle.
He regained his balance and tried again, but ultimately
the line came to soon and he could only finish fourth.
One for next time maybe…
Barneys Honour finished fifth in his race – but he was
never really in the hunt.
He either needs a little bit more time – or a few pounds off his back…
He either needs a little bit more time – or a few pounds off his back…
Just a quick word on tomorrow…
I’ve obviously had quite a tough few days, outputting in
excess of 15,000 words since Friday
morning. My typing finger needs a rest !
Consequently, unless my alerts tell me otherwise, there
will be no tips tomorrow – and no write-up.
I’ll remain open minded about the rest of the week – but
I will be looking to take a second day off at some point…
I’ll confirm the position early tomorrow morning, when
I’ll send out an email at the normal time (or maybe a little earlier if it is to
be a bank day).
First class previews Andrew. I think you've been a tad unlucky that two of your savers have won (we'll take them though!) and some of the stronger bets have just missed out this month.
ReplyDeleteThanks Neil.
ReplyDeleteAs you know, I try to strike a balance between information and entertainment with the previews.
I know people appreciate understanding the logic behind the selections – but I think the rationale needs to be readable as well.
I always appreciate hearing feedback on whether or not I’m getting it right…
With regard to the way s things have been going – then I think you are spot on…
The 2 last week were big ones to get turned over.
It goes without saying that it’s the highly staked ones that we need to be hanging on - and last week was not good for that.
Obviously the savers that come in, help keep us on an even keel – and that is important. But in order to take steps forward, we need some of the big bets to win.
Hopefully we’ll get a bit of luck in that respect this week (I certainly feel we are due some !!).
A.