Cheltenham Gold Cup (Cheltenham March 14th)

I was keen to get Katenko onside before he ran in yesterdays Hennessy Gold cup, just in case he put in a huge performance.

Obviously that didn’t happen, as he took a soft fall at the 14th fence. However, assuming he wasn’t hurt (and he was immediately back on his feet) then I was happy enough with his performance to that point…

Certainly he travelled through the race, showing the same power that characterised his 2 victories in January – and that was good to see…

He was being targeted at this years Gold Cup when he developed a bad bout of colic. Apparently he was pretty ill with that but his showing prior to his departure yesterday suggest that he is ready to pick up where he left off last campaign.

And if he can do that, then, despite his odds, I think he can develop into a serious Gold Cup contender this season.
I find it amazing to think that he only ran 4 times last season – such was the impact of his 2 wins.
The first of those, gained in the soft at Sandown, now looks a particularly strong piece of form as he gave weight and a comfortable beating to Johns Spirit.

His second win, over half a mile shorter at Cheltenham, was probably visually even more impressive – and came off a mark 11lb higher.
In truth the form of that win doesn’t look quite as strong – but he did make a lasting impression that day…

He is currently rated 157 which leaves him at least a stone shy of the level required to be competitive in a Gold Cup. However he improved by almost that amount on each of his final, two outings of last season – and as he is still only 7 there is no reason to think that improvement can’t continue.

I honestly think that Katenko can take his form to a new level when given the challenge of the Gold Cup course and trip – provided he gets some cut in the ground (which nowadays, is almost guaranteed).

There is still a lot of water to go under the bridge – but if he does make it to the big day on March , I certainty don’t expect him to be trading anywhere near his current price…

0.25pt win Katenko 50/1

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